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Why use the xG model

Of course, it is impossible to conclude from such statistics who will win a future game. It is only one of the components that allow you to make an accurate prediction. Nevertheless, xG allows you to see how successful a particular team is in its offensive actions. Several conclusions can be drawn from there. For example, if the conditional Southampton has some problems with xG, and in the next round it will play Manchester City and will not have many chances, most likely the "saints" will lose.

Application in betting.

Here's how else you can use xG to make bets:

• Betting on bookmaker pari match an individual match in a pre-match. The idea is that you determine who had the best realization in the last matches considering xG, whether it went up and make your prediction based on that.
• Betting on an individual match live. You watch the match, the worst team opens the scoring (for example, Southampton and Chelsea). But you realize that the favorite can regain the lead and will probably do so. Therefore, you can bet on it, and with higher odds than in the prematch.
• Long-term bets. If you see that over the course of the season the team is under-scoring, that is, xG is good, but scoring little, you can expect that over time, their results will improve significantly, that is, the team will start to win.

Of course, it is impossible to conclude from such statistics who will win a future game. It is only one part of making an accurate prediction. Nevertheless, xG allows you to see how successful a particular team is in its offensive actions. Several conclusions can be drawn from there. For example, if the conditional Southampton has some problems with xG, and in the next round it will play Manchester City and will not have many chances, most likely the "saints" will lose.